20 Nov

Last week we went 2-2 to bring our total to 22-13 on the year. It should have been 3-1 but we had a bad beat on our Titans -3 bet. This week has some interesting matchups and a few lines that I’m pretty confident in. Now for my week 11 picks ATS…

Cowboys +2.5

I have the Cowboys winning this game outright so snagging the points here is an option I can't resist. The only way I can justify this spread is if Vegas thinks that the Chiefs are back in form after their win over the Raiders. Other than that the Cowboys have been the better team all year by a significant amount. The Cowboys are one of the best teams in the league and I can't imagine that home field advantage for the Chiefs is worth 2.5 points. This game should be a pick ‘em, so any extra points are too valuable to pass up.

49ers -6.5 

The 49ers are coming off of a massive win at home and that is something they haven't done in over a year, so that's got to feel good. It is a short week for the 49ers and they are traveling across the country, but they are playing a weaker Jaguars team. The 49ers need to win just about every game going forward if they want a shot at the playoffs in the NFC. That means that this game simply means more for the 49ers than it does for the 2-7 Jaguars. I like the 49ers to win by a touchdown or more.

Dolphins -3 

The Dolphins shocked everyone with their win over the Ravens last week in prime time. The Dolphins looked really good last week, and I can't imagine that they're not feeling some sort of momentum. The Jets on the other hand are an absolute mess. Their defense is one of the worst in the league, and they have given up over 40 points in 3 of their last 4 games. I like where the Dolphins are as a team right now, and this line is too close for me to pass up. I think the Dolphins win this game by a touchdown or more. 

Eagles -2.5 

The Saints are without Alvin Kamara and their starting QB this week and that should be a recipe for disaster. The Saints are also missing their two starting offensive tackles which will make life much more difficult for Trevor Siemian. This is a pivotal game for both teams as they still have playoff hopes. I simply believe in Jalen Hurts more than I do Trevor Siemian. The Eagles are not that great of a football team but they should be enough to win by 3 or more.

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