08 Sep

Miami +3

I really like this line for a few different reasons. One being the fact that the Patriots starting QB Mac Jones is a rookie in his first game against 1st string players against a good secondary in Miami. Another is the patriots don't have a kicker and this line is giving you a field goal which this game may come down too. If you can't make field goals with a rookie QB at the helm that's a recipe for disaster. The edge arguably at the QB position as well as the kicker don't seem to be factored into this line and that's why I like it.

Green Bay -4

The Saints are losing home field advantage because of hurricane Ida for the foreseeable future, and that is a huge blow especially to a team with one of the best home fields in all of football. Losing home field advantage and also playing one of the best teams in the NFC for the past 3 years seems like a really tough gig. Add in the fact that they necessarily didn't have a QB until a week or two ago and they're playing against one of the best QBs to ever play… This line seems a little light to me.
Side Note: The biggest factor in this game has to be Jameis Winston’s recent LASIK eye surgery because who knows how the guy is going to play now that he can finally see his receivers.

Seattle - 2.5 

Colts QB Carson Wentz is coming off a foot injury and also has missed some time due to covid protocol so you can imagine that he should be pretty rusty. Wentz is going to be without veteran Wide out T.Y. Hilton started the season because of a neck injury that put him on IR. On top of that the Colts offensive line has taken a hit as well. Pro Bowl center Ryan Kelly was injured during practice, also two other lineman have been dealing with injuries, it doesn't look to hot for the Colts O-Line. Seattle should cover here. 

San Francisco -7.5

The San Francisco 49ers are one of the NFLs top teams according to ESPN and on the contrary they ranked the Detroit Lions 31st out of 32 teams. The Lions are not expected to be good and with no double digit lines in the first week this is one that I believe should be. The Lions traded away their longtime franchise QB Matthew Stafford who was often the only bright spot on a dim roster in return for a QB who has never won a game against the 49ers. With a below average defense and below average offense the Lions should be handled easily by San Francisco. I see the 49ers winning by ten or more.

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